LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

7 de novembro de 2019

LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come with announcement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns in week two. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams look to take a top-four place in the race more than into College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way for them. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter because their opener. As he went 11 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college soccer. This includes the 45 they dumped on Texas.
As underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in Together with the roar of Death Valley awaiting. Can the No. 5 defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing offense and Burrow keep rolling up and likewise win the wager? Heres the breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in Burrows skill . Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the very best getting teams in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that can fill the area. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitions of LSU: Vanderbilt 128th, Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida currently sits at 33rd, even though its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of Burrows caliber. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson has been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on uneven so far at the other corner spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will confront a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami over the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to be their coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing defensive line while his consciousness need to enhance in the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, and is the finest in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and can be 85th in sack rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and sprained a knee.
Together with the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit should produce big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most regarded as DBU for the talent they have on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
Will soon be out of all returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who allowed the least amount of downs. Itll be given a chance against a pressured Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this year going. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his approach last weekend. In spite of that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also will be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is including Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut from the Kentucky match.
It places ways too much stress on Trask in a hostile atmosphere, Should they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned admiration following a week from the school football world. And while I do not expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win against LSU, I really do see this game remaining closer than most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, and Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. But LSU is not going to install 45 or something near that against a defense who is known at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will work out over time, since they much too much to modify the wave in matches have been relied on by the group. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject against the physical Chase or Jefferson to a PIs.
However, I do not expect this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog until afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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